BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//IHSS - ECPv6.17.0//NONSGML v1.0//EN CALSCALE:GREGORIAN METHOD:PUBLISH X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://ihss.hku.hk X-WR-CALDESC:Events for IHSS REFRESH-INTERVAL;VALUE=DURATION:PT1H X-Robots-Tag:noindex X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT1H BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:Asia/Hong_Kong BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:+0800 TZOFFSETTO:+0800 TZNAME:HKT DTSTART:20240101T000000 END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20261015T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20261015T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163539 CREATED:20261012T011947Z LAST-MODIFIED:20261012T015936Z UID:110318-1792080000-1792085400@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Doctoral Research Webinar: The War vs. Productivity Channel: How New Technology Led to Complex Societies in Neolithic China DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/doctoral-research-webinar-the-war-vs-productivity-channel-how-new-technology-led-to-complex-societies-in-neolithic-china/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-52.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260917T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260917T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260915T042207Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260915T042207Z UID:110220-1789660800-1789666200@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Doctoral Research Webinar | 明代田賦數據的結構與性質——以「加耗」為中心 The Structure and Nature of Land Tax Data in Ming China: The Case of Surcharges DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/the-structure-and-nature-of-land-tax-data-in-ming-china-the-case-of-surcharges/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-44.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260910T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260910T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260907T005819Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260914T063348Z UID:110092-1789056000-1789061400@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Gold and Trade: An Empirical Simulation Approach DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/gold-and-trade-an-empirical-simulation-approach/ LOCATION:Lecture Hall\, G/F\, May Hall\, The University of Hong Kong\, or Via Zoom\, Hong Kong CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-38.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260618T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260618T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260609T061053Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260609T061412Z UID:109245-1781798400-1781803800@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Drivers of Agricultural Growth in British India DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/drivers-of-agricultural-growth-in-british-india/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-34.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260514T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260514T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260508T032045Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260513T075016Z UID:107651-1778774400-1778779800@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Flora\, Cosmos\, Salvatio: Pre-modern Academic Institutions and the Spread of Ideas DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/flora-cosmos-salvatio-pre-modern-academic-institutions-and-the-spread-of-ideas/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-21.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260507T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260507T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260430T085410Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260511T041619Z UID:107561-1778169600-1778175000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Transport and the Transmission of Plague across Settlements in Early Modern England DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/transport-and-the-transmission-of-plague-across-settlements-in-early-modern-england/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/IMG_9997.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260430T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260430T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260422T031127Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260430T084937Z UID:107012-1777564800-1777570200@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Innovation Networks in the Industrial Revolution DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/innovation-networks-in-the-industrial-revolution/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/image-10.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260226T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260226T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260224T070155Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102838Z UID:97371-1772121600-1772127000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:A Century of Language Barriers to Migration in India DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/a-century-of-language-barriers-to-migration-in-india/ LOCATION:Display Area\, G/F\, May Hall\, The University of Hong Kong\, or Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-12.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260205T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260205T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260210T000028Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102838Z UID:96315-1770307200-1770312600@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Quantitative Analyses of The Religious Book Market in Qing China Based on CRTA Data DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/quantitative-analyses-of-the-religious-book-market-in-qing-china-based-on-crta-data/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-10.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260129T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20260129T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260128T170210Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102838Z UID:97390-1769702400-1769707800@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:清代江蘇士人的家世、仕進與社會流動 Family Background\, Official Advancement\, and Social Mobility of the Jiangsu Literati in the Qing Dynasty DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/%e6%b8%85%e4%bb%a3%e6%b1%9f%e8%98%87%e5%a3%ab%e4%ba%ba%e7%9a%84%e5%ae%b6%e4%b8%96%e3%80%81%e4%bb%95%e9%80%b2%e8%88%87%e7%a4%be%e6%9c%83%e6%b5%81%e5%8b%95-family-background-official-advancement-and-s/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-8.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20251120T123000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20251120T140000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260228T100008Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102839Z UID:97935-1763641800-1763647200@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Revisiting Mass Action Incidents in Late Qing China\, 1902-1911 DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/revisiting-mass-action-incidents-in-late-qing-china-1902-1911/ LOCATION:G01\, May Hall\, The University of Hong Kong CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/image-20.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20251113T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20251113T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260228T102404Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102839Z UID:97952-1763049600-1763055000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Spousal occupations in the twentieth-century Yangtze Valley DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/spousal-occupations-in-the-twentieth-century-yangtze-valley/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/image-25.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20251009T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20251009T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260228T131609Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102839Z UID:98005-1760025600-1760031000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Doctoral Research Webinar: Weaving a Modern Workforce: How Female Industrial Pioneers Refined Women’s Economic Role in Japan DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/doctoral-research-webinar-weaving-a-modern-workforce-how-female-industrial-pioneers-refined-womens-economic-role-in-japan/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/image-42-scaled.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20251002T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20251002T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260228T133432Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102839Z UID:98010-1759420800-1759426200@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Doctoral Research Webinar: Imports and Industrialization in China\, 1876-1936 DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/doctoral-research-webinar-imports-and-industrialization-in-china-1876-1936/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/image-43.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250918T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250918T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260228T140207Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102840Z UID:98028-1758211200-1758216600@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:兩千年中國經濟增長 China’s GDP over Two Millennia DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/%e5%85%a9%e5%8d%83%e5%b9%b4%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%a2%9e%e9%95%b7-chinas-gdp-over-two-millennia/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/image-48.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250605T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250605T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260302T055449Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102840Z UID:98109-1749139200-1749144600@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Real and Nominal Belief in God: Evidence from Wills\, England: 1300-1850 DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/real-and-nominal-belief-in-god-evidence-from-wills-england-1300-1850/ LOCATION:Zoom\, Hong Kong CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/image-14.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250529T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250529T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260302T060437Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102840Z UID:98120-1748534400-1748539800@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Cowrie Money and the Making of the Modern World: A Global Perspective DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/cowrie-money-and-the-making-of-the-modern-world-a-global-perspective/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/image-17.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250522T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250522T173000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20260302T065921Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102841Z UID:98140-1747929600-1747935000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:A Comparative Study of the Commercial Seafaring Organizations of China and Arab in the Medieval Age DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/a-comparative-study-of-the-commercial-seafaring-organizations-of-china-and-arab-in-the-medieval-age/ LOCATION:Lecture Hall\, May Hall\, The University of Hong Kong CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/image-22.jpeg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250306T210000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250306T223000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20250220T190740Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102837Z UID:91527-1741294800-1741300200@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Rise of the south: How Arab-led maritime trade transformed China\, 671–1371 CE DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/rise-of-the-south-how-arab-led-maritime-trade-transformed-china-671-1371-ce/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Quantitative-History-Webinar-Series-1.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250220T180000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20250220T180000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20250219T201245Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102837Z UID:91473-1740074400-1740074400@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Inheritance and Inequality in a Pre-Modern Economy DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/inheritance-and-inequality-in-a-pre-modern-economy-problem-for-emerson-study/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/HKIHSS-banner_QH_1080.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20241212T123000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20241212T140000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20241129T195431Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102837Z UID:90912-1734006600-1734012000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Cliodynamics of End Times: Elites\, Counter-Elites and the Path of Political Disintegration DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/cliodynamics-of-end-times-elites-counter-elites-and-the-path-of-political-disintegration/ LOCATION:KK301\, K.K. Leung Building\, HKU Main Campus\, or Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/png:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/dec12long.png END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20241107T100000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20241107T113000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20241104T195056Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102836Z UID:90781-1730973600-1730979000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Predictive Modelling the Past: A New Machine Learning Method Applied to Seven Centuries of Wages DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/predictive-modelling-the-past-a-new-machine-learning-method-applied-to-seven-centuries-of-wages/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/HKIHSS-banner_QH_615-1.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20241010T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20241010T160000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20241027T193411Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102836Z UID:90293-1728576000-1728576000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:The Fate of the Taiping Rebellion DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/the-fate-of-the-taiping-rebellion/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/HKIHSS-banner_QH_615-1.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240704T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240704T160000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20241024T230141Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T102836Z UID:89955-1720108800-1720108800@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:How China Became Chinese? Geography or Political Integration DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/how-china-became-chinese-geography-or-political-integration-2/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Copy-of-HKIHSS-banner_QH_615-15.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20240620 DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20240621 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20240722T193134Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T103323Z UID:85192-1718841600-1718927999@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Twilight of the Medieval Chinese Aristocracy: Keju\, Officeholding\, and Assortative Mating in the Tang DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/twilight-of-the-medieval-chinese-aristocracy-keju-officeholding-and-assortative-mating-in-the-tang/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Copy-of-HKIHSS-banner_QH_1080-9.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240530T210000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240530T210000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20240602T192650Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T103220Z UID:81507-1717102800-1717102800@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Celebrating legacy: The intergenerational transmission of reproduction and human capital in Ming–Qing Chinese families DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/celebrating-legacy-the-intergenerational-transmission-of-reproduction-and-human-capital-in-ming-qing-chinese-families/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Copy-of-HKIHSS-banner_QH_1080-7.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240523T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240523T160000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20240602T193907Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T103220Z UID:81532-1716480000-1716480000@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Secular Decline in Modern China? Wage Evidence from Hydraulic Constructions and Rural Casual Work in Suzhou and Shanghai DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/secular-decline-in-modern-china-wage-evidence-from-hydraulic-constructions-and-rural-casual-work-in-suzhou-and-shanghai/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Copy-of-HKIHSS-banner_QH_1080-6.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240425T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240425T160000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20240602T222709Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T103222Z UID:81611-1714060800-1714060800@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:Going Native: Foreign Firms’ Responses to Domestic Boycotts DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/going-native-foreign-firms-responses-to-domestic-boycotts/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/HKIHSS-banner_QH_1080-1.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240411T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240411T160000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20240602T225316Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T103221Z UID:81579-1712851200-1712851200@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:War and the Origins of Chinese Civilization DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/war-and-the-origins-of-chinese-civilization/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Copy-of-HKIHSS-banner_QH_1080-5.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240321T160000 DTEND;TZID=Asia/Hong_Kong:20240321T160000 DTSTAMP:20261013T163540 CREATED:20240603T000852Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260416T103224Z UID:81704-1711036800-1711036800@ihss.hku.hk SUMMARY:The Empire Project: Trade Policy in Interwar Canada DESCRIPTION:Table of Contents \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n Description \n \n \n \n In this Quantitative History Webinar\, Senhao Hu of Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences (IHSS) will examine how ground-stone technology contributed to the rise of complex societies during the Neolithic. The standard account—rooted in Gordon Childe’s productivity-channel hypothesis—argues that grinding improved farming implements and increased agricultural productivity\, thereby generating food surpluses that supported population growth and complex-society development. In contrast\, this study tests an alternative hypothesis: while agricultural and battlefield applications of the new technology both mattered for human welfare\, the war channel was more decisive for the formation of complex societies. Specifically\, more lethal stone weapons increased conflict threats\, which in turn encouraged populations to agglomerate into larger\, fortified settlements for defense—ultimately triggering social complexity. Using the China Archaeological Database\, this research analyzes a panel of 487 grid cells across “China Proper” over more than four millennia (6000–2000 BCE). The results show that\, as a proxy for the war channel\, stone-weapon grave goods consistently and significantly predict both the presence and intensity of large-settlement formation. By comparison\, stone-farming-tool grave goods (a proxy for the productivity channel) do not show a comparable effect. Instrumental-variable estimations and two independent war-threat proxies—fortified cities and violence-caused skeletal injuries—further support the argument. Importantly\, the war channel through which ground-stone technology shaped complex-society development persists beyond the Neolithic\, continuing through the Bronze Age (2000–770 BCE) and the Iron Age (770–221 BCE). Senhao Hu’s co-author: Zhiwu Chen (HKU Business School and IHSS) \n \n \n \n About the Quantitative History Webinar Series \n \n \n \n The Quantitative History (QH) Webinar Series aims to provide researchers\, teachers\, and students with an online intellectual platform to keep up to date with the latest research in the field\, promoting the dissemination of research findings and interdisciplinary use of quantitative methods in historical research. The QH Webinar Series\, now entering its sixth year\, is co-organized by the Centre for Quantitative History at the HKU Business School and the International Society for Quantitative History in partnership with the Hong Kong Institute for the Humanities and Social Sciences. The Series is now substantially supported by the Areas of Excellence (AoE) Scheme from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region\, China (Project No. [AoE/B-704/22-R]). 量化歷史網上講座系列由香港大學陳志武和馬馳騁教授聯合發起，旨在介紹前沿量化歷史研究成果、促進同仁交流，推廣量化方法在歷史研究中的應用。本系列講座由香港大學經管學院量化歷史研究中心和國際量化歷史學會承辦，及香港人文社會研究所全力支持。從2023年開始，系列得到中國香港特別行政區研究資助局卓越學科領域計劃的重要資助 (項目編號[AoE/B-704/22-R])。 Conveners: Professors Zhiwu Chen & Chicheng Ma (HKU Business School) URL:https://ihss.hku.hk/events/the-empire-project-trade-policy-in-interwar-canada/ LOCATION:Via Zoom CATEGORIES:Quantitative History,Quantitative History Webinar Series ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://ihss.hku.hk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Copy-of-HKIHSS-banner_QH_1080-4.jpg END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR